Brazil’s former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva maintains a 13 percentage point lead over the incumbent head of state ahead of the first round of presidential elections on October 2, but far-right President Jair Bolsonaro, 67, has cut that to two points, according to poll of the reference institute Datafolha made public yesterday Thursday.
According to this rolling poll, Lula is credited with 45% of voting intentions (–2% from its previous version on August 29), while Mr. Bolsonaro maintained his own percentage at 32% (unchanged).
The former president’s lead over the incumbent, which stood at 21 points in May, has not stopped shrinking. It reached 29 units in December.
Should a run-off be held on October 30, Lula will win securing 53% to the Brazilian far-right leader’s 38%. The centre-left leader’s lead ahead of a run-off has shrunk by 2 points in two weeks.
The Datafolia poll was conducted using the method of personal interviews among a representative sample of 5,734 voters on August 30 and September 1. The margin of statistical error is ±2%.